2021 Town of Milton Overview

Overview Description

The Town of Milton is the most significant growth area of the Board, and as a result, is expected to generate a significant number of students over the next 15 years and onward. This growth is also one of the key factors that sustain the Board’s ongoing yearly increase in student population, moderating the effects of projected declines.

With the exception of Holy Rosary (M) CES and Our Lady of Victory CES (CEM1), all other communities in Milton have been recent developments and are expected to continue to yield a high number of students for a number of years.

As it relates to future development potential, Milton still has a generous supply of greenfield developments (low to medium density development subdivision that include a large amount of Single-Family Dwelling and Townhomes) to meet its growth targets. The largest areas of lands identified for future development include Boyne Secondary Plan (CEM2C-2D), Milton Education Village (CEM2D), Milton Heights (CEM1), and most recently the Milton Urban Expansion Lands through Trafalgar, Agerton and Britannia East/West Secondary Plans (CEM3A).

As development continues, the need for additional capacity will be required both at the elementary and secondary school panels, resulting in new schools over the next 15-year period and beyond.

Town of Milton Projections

The total enrolment for the Town of Milton for both the elementary and secondary school panels are projected to increase significantly as growth generates new students, and demand for space. Existing communities (already built) are also expected to remain relatively stable overall.

The projection period for the Long-Term Capital Plan (LTCP) is over 15 years, between the 2020-2035 school years. During this time, the Board anticipates the following:

  • Within a 15-year period, the Town of Milton’s elementary panel enrolment is projected to continue growing significantly, increasing from 7,270 students to 13,151 students, representing a growth of approximately 81% overall. Utilization for the elementary panel will increase from 117% to 212% over this period – thus requiring additional pupil places to house students.
  • Within a 15-year period, the Town of Milton’s secondary panel enrolment is projected to continue growing significantly, increasing from 4,605 students to 7,303 students, an increase of approximately 59% overall. Utilization for the secondary panel will increase from 155% to 162% over this period – thus requiring additional pupil places to house students.

Upcoming Projects

Type of ProjectProject DescriptionYear RequiredCPFP Opportunity
Capital ProjectsMilton #10 CES2022-23No
Milton #9 CES2022-23Yes
Milton #3 CSS2023-24Yes
Milton #11 CES2024-25Yes
Milton #12 CES2026-27Yes
Milton #4 CSS2027-28Yes
Milton #13 or Milton #14 CES2028-29Yes
Pupil Accommodation ReviewsProvincial Moratorium in Effect.
Schools Boundary & Program ReviewsCEM2C-2D School Boundary Review for Milton #10 CES1-5 yearsNo
CEM1, CSM1-2 Administrative School Boundary Review for Milton Heights1-5 yearsNo
Renewal ProjectsOur Lady of Victory CES Renewal2021-21No
Schools with Underutilized SpacesN/AN/AN/A

Description

Overall enrolment has fluctuated over the last few years within this area, largely due to declines in the existing community combined with increases from new developments. Overall, enrolment is expected to increase over the long-term.

Holy Rosary (M) CES hosts regional Extended French programming and Our Lady of Victory CES hosts regional Special Education Classes for Gifted Students.

This review area has a mix of mature communities in Old Milton and Timberlea; newer communities in Scott, and planned developments in Milton Heights and Milton GO Mobility Hub. Remaining development will take the form of existing single-family home replacements, and medium and high-density intensification.

Schools Involved

  • Holy Rosary (M) CES
  • Our Lady of Victory CES
  • Queen of Heaven CES

Projections

CEM1 Overview and Projection Details

CEM1 Recommendations

Short-term (1-5 years)

  • An Administrative School Boundary Review should be conducted to determine school catchments for Milton Heights.

Long-term (6-15 years)

  • Continue to monitor enrolment.

Description

Enrolment in this review area has been increasing at a rapid and consistent rate over the past ten (10) years since development began in the Bristol Survey, creating significant enrolment pressures on existing schools requiring the use of numerous temporary portable classrooms. Enrolments are projected to stabilize significantly over the long-term.

In order to accommodate an expanded French Immersion program for 2021-22, St. Peter CES has been designated as the alternate program location for the year until the recommendations of the Milton Elementary French Immersion School Boundary Review is implemented for 2022-23.

Based on past optional French Immersion program registrations trends, more students may now enrol in the optional French Immersion program as a result of the removal of the enrolment cap from the 2022-23 school year. This may result in reduced enrolment at Guardian Angels CES and St. Anthony of Padua CES if similar trends hold.

Most large-scale subdivision developments have been completed within this area, however lands remain available for some medium- to high-density developments within this area. There is a possibility that schools with available capacity within this area may serve as holding schools for the Milton Urban Expansion Lands (CEM3A).

Schools Involved

  • Guardian Angels CES
  • Our Lady of Fatima CES
  • St. Anthony of Padua CES
  • St. Peter CES

Projections

CEM2A Overview and Projection Details

CEM2A Recommendations

Short-term (1-5 years)

  • Continue to monitor enrolments.

Long-term (6-15 years)

  • It should be noted that schools with available capacity within CEM2A may hold students from the Milton Urban Expansion Lands (CEM3A) due to its proximity to the area.

Description

Enrolment in this review area has been increasing at a rapid and consistent rate over the past ten (10) years since development was initiated in the Sherwood Survey, creating significant enrolment pressures on existing schools requiring the use of numerous temporary portable classrooms.

To address remaining accommodation challenges at St. Benedict CES, optional French Immersion (FI) and Extended French (ExF) programming changes were made in 2018, which took effect for 2019. As part of the change, ExF was introduced at Lumen Christi CES and Our Lady of Fatima CES (CEM2A) and is being phased out of St. Benedict CES; and FI was introduced at St. Scholastica CES (CEM2D) and is being phased out of St. Benedict CES.

Based on past optional French Immersion program registrations trends, more students may now enrol in the optional French Immersion program as a result of the removal of the enrolment cap from the 2022-23 school year. This results in reduced enrolment at Lumen Christi CES and St. Benedict CES if similar trends hold.

Most of the low-density residential developments are nearing completion within this area. Additional development will be medium and high-density housing in nature.

Schools Involved

  • Lumen Christi CES
  • St. Benedict CES

Projections

CEM2B Overview and Projection Details

CEM2B Recommendations

Short-term (1-5 years)

  • Continue to monitor enrolment.

Long-term (6-15 years)

  • Continue to monitor enrolment.

Description

Greenfield development will continue to occur within the Boyne Secondary Plan over the long-term and is forecasted to impact enrolment in the community.

St. Scholastica CES is projected to exceed Site Capacity by 2022 due to new development and the expanding French Immersion (FI) program. At which point, additional elementary schools in the community and an accommodation plan for French Immersion programming in Milton will be needed.

On July 23, 2020, the Ministry of Education approved funding for Milton #10 CES. This facility will hold Milton #3 CSS students until the new secondary school facility opens in 2023-24.

In addition, development is planned in the Milton Education Village. It is expected that new schools in Boyne will have sufficient capacity to accommodate students from this development.

Schools Involved

  • St. Scholastica CES
  • Milton #10 CES (planned)

Projections

CEM2C-2D Overview and Projection Details

CEM2C-2D Recommendations

Short-term (1-5 years)

  • A School Boundary Review should be conducted to determine school catchments for Milton #10 CES.
  • As development proceeds within the Boyne Secondary Plan and Milton Education Village, the next elementary school (Milton #9 CES) will be required by 2022-23 to accommodate students from new development. Following that, the fourth elementary school (Milton #11 CES) in Boyne will be required by 2024-25. It should be noted that schools with available capacity within CEM2A may also hold students from the Milton Urban Expansion Lands (CEM3A) due to its proximity to the area, which may impact the timing of Milton #11 CES.

Long-term (6-15 years)

  • Continue to monitor enrolment.

Description

There are currently no schools within these review areas. Students are being housed at Holy Rosary (M) CES (CEM1), Queen of Heaven CES (CEM1), St. Benedict CES (CEM2B) and St. Peter CES (CEM2A).

Currently this review area contains housing that is rural in nature, and includes the community of Campbellville.

Milton #9 (Walker) CES (CEM2D) and Milton #11 (Bowes) CES (CEM2C) are designated as holding schools for some areas once these schools are introduced. Lands in CEM3A are designated as a part of the Milton Urban Expansion Lands, which will see significant residential development within the medium- to beyond the 15-year timeframe. The Board has indicated that 5 elementary school sites will be needed to accommodate students within this area.

Projections

CEM3A-3B Overview and Projection Details

CEM3A-3B Recommendations

Short-term (1-5 years)

  • Continue to monitor enrolment.

Long-term (6-15 years)

  • Once development proceeds within the Milton Urban Expansion Lands (CEM3A), five (5) new elementary schools will be required within the area. The first elementary school in this area (Milton #12 CES) will be required by 2026-27 to accommodate students from the Trafalgar Secondary Plan. Following that, the second elementary school (Milton #13 or #14 CES) in either the Trafalgar or Britannia Secondary Plan will be required by 2028-29. The timing of new schools will be refined once development applications area circulated and additional details are available.

Projections By Secondary Review Area (SRA)

Description

Enrolment has been increasing at Bishop P. F. Reding CSS for the last five years. It is forecasted to continue increasing then stabilize over the long-term. It should be noted that high enrolment from 2022 to 2028 may not be accommodated using portables based on the current site condition. However, staff will examine solutions to address these accommodation challenges, including the potential to increase portable capacity on site through site improvements.

In the 2020-21 school year, a 29-classroom addition and a 4-room Child Care Centre to Bishop P. F. Reding CSS was completed. This increased the FBC of the school from 912 to 1542.

The availability of the new Advanced Placement (AP) program is attracting students to the school. The school also hosts regional Extended French programming, which is a significant draw to the schools.

This area includes a mix of mature neighbourhoods in Old Milton and Timberlea; rural housing in Halton Hills South, Milton West; recent developments in Scott and planned new developments in Milton Heights. In addition, there are some new medium and high-density developments in Old Milton.

Schools Involved

  • Bishop P. F. Reding CSS

Projections

CSM1 Overview and Projection Details

CSM1 Recommendations

Short-term (1-5 years)

  • An Administrative School Boundary Review should be conducted to determine school catchments for Milton Heights.

Long-term (6-15 years)

  • Continue to monitor enrolment.

Description

Enrolment has been increasing at St. Francis Xavier CSS (CEM2) since it first opened in 2013 and is forecasted to continue increasing over the long-term. Once Milton #3 CSS opens, accommodation pressure at the school will be alleviated.

Currently there are no secondary schools in CSM3. The planned Milton #3 CSS will be located in this review area once complete. The Board has identified the Milton #3 CSS as a priority capital requirement to the Ministry of Education and has gained Ministry funding approval in the summer of 2020. Construction work on the new Milton #3 CSS facility is expected to begin in 2021, and is expected to be complete for 2023-24. Additional information is available in Milton #3 CSS School Construction page.

The need for an additional Catholic Secondary School has been identified within the Milton Urban Expansion Lands (CEM3).

These areas contain largely recently developed communities, as well as planned developments in Boyne. Proposed developments in the Milton Education Village (CEM2) and Milton Urban Expansion Lands (CEM3) also fall within these review areas.

Schools Involved

  • St. Francis Xavier CSS
  • Milton #3 CSS (planned)

Projections

CSM2-3 Overview and Projection Details

CSM2-3 Recommendations

Short-term (1-5 years)

  • An Administrative School Boundary Review should be conducted to determine school catchments for Milton Heights.

Long-term (6-15 years)

  • Once development proceeds within the Milton Urban Expansion Lands (CSM3), a new secondary school (Milton #4 CSS) will be required within the area for 2027-28. The timing of the new school will be refined once development applications area circulated and additional details are available.
Erica Emery2021 Town of Milton Overview