2021 Town of Oakville Overview

Overview Description

Overall, Oakville’s built neighbourhoods can be characterized one (1) of three (3) ways: maturing, established, and new growth. South of the QEW (CEO1) is comprised of the oldest maturing neighbourhoods; North of the QEW and South of Upper Middle Road are also maturing with newer neighbourhoods seeing mostly infill growth and low enrolment yields. North of Upper Middle Road and South of Dundas Street are established neighbourhoods with sustained and continued development and enrolment growth. The geography north of Dundas Street (CEO6) is new Greenfield development, characterized by high development growth and potentially high enrolment yields.

As it relates to future development potential, Oakville still has a very generous supply of greenfield developments (low to medium density development subdivisions – Single Family Dwelling and Townhomes) identified as the North Oakville Secondary Plan (East and West) north of Dundas Street (CEO6) to meet its growth targets. A significant number of subdivision applications within the secondary plan have already come online and are under construction. These developments are currently serviced by the newly opened St. Gregory the Great CES (CEO6). The latter opened in September 2016 to accommodate future enrolment growth north of Dundas as the four (4) elementary school sites designated in North Oakville are established.

In addition, there are also two (2) new growth areas located between Upper Middle Road and the QEW, which are the former Saw-Whet (CEO2) and Glen Abbey (CEO3) golf courses being converted into residential developments.

Town of Oakville Projections

The total enrolment for the Town of Oakville for both the elementary and secondary school panels are projected to be stable as growth generates new students that counteract declines in other areas. There are a number of existing communities that are experiencing overall declines as JK cohort sizes and birth rates decline. Overall, enrolment growth in the North Oakville Secondary Plan area is projected to balance declining enrolment in other areas of Oakville. Also note that the closure and consolidation of two (2) schools improved overall utilization.

The projection period for the Long-Term Capital Plan (LTCP) is over a 15- year projection period, between the 2020-2035 school years. During this time, the Board anticipates the following:

  • Within a 15-year period, the Town of Oakville’s elementary panel enrolment is projected to continue growing overall, increasing from 7,178 students to 9,033 students, representing an overall growth of approximately 26%. Utilization for the elementary panel will increase from 94% to 118% over this period.
  • Within a 15-year period, the Town of Oakville’s secondary panel enrolment is projected to increase from 3,733 students to 4,132 students, an increase of approximately 11%. Utilization for the secondary panel will increase from 98% to 109% over this period.

Upcoming Projects

Type of ProjectProject DescriptionYear RequiredCPFP Opportunity
Capital ProjectsSt. Dominic CES Rebuild2022-23Yes
North Oakville #4 CES2022-23No
North Oakville #3 CES2024-25Yes
North Oakville #5 CES2029-30Yes
North Oakville #2 CES2033-34Yes
North Oakville #1 CSS2033-34Yes
Pupil Accommodation ReviewsProvincial Moratorium in Effect.
School Boundary & Program ReviewsCEO1-6 French Immersion Administrative Program Review or School Boundary Review1-5 yearsTBD
CEO2-3, 6 Administrative School Boundary Review for North Oakville West1-5 yearsTBD
CEO2-6 School Boundary Review1-5 yearsTBD
Renewal ProjectsN/AN/AN/A
Schools with Underutilized SpacesSt. Luke CES1-5 yearsYes
St. Vincent CES1-5 yearsYes
St. Teresa of Calcutta CES1-5 yearsYes
Holy Family CES1-5 yearsYes
St. John Paul II CES6-15 yearsTBD
St. Marguerite d’Youville CES6-15 yearsTBD

Projections By Elementary Review Area (ERA)

Description

Enrolment has been decreasing over the last five (5) years and is projected to continue decreasing further before stabilizing over the long-term.

Through the Modified Pupil Accommodation Review (MPAR) undertaken in 2015-16 and subsequent approval, the Board approved the consolidation of the former St. James CES and St. Joseph (O) CES communities to form the new St. Nicholas CES, starting in 2018-19. A new school building was constructed at the site of the former St. Joseph (O) CES site for St. Nicholas CES, which opened in 2020-21. The Thomas Merton Centre for Continuing Education is now located at the former St. James CES facility.

The Ministry has not approved the rebuild/retrofit at St. Dominic CES. The Board will continue to submit this project as a priority capital project.

Neighbourhoods are continuing to age and mature within this area. Future development will take the form of existing single-family home replacements and redevelopment of commercial and institutional sites for residential uses. Medium and high-density intensification is proposed within the Bronte Village, Kerr Street, Downtown Oakville and Midtown Oakville Growth Areas.

Schools Involved

  • St. Dominic CES
  • St. Luke CES
  • St. Nicholas CES
  • St. Vincent CES

Projections

CEO1 Overview and Projection Details

CEO1 Recommendations

Short-term (1-5 years)

  • Continue to apply for Ministry funding to address renewal needs and rebuild St. Dominic CES.
  • Identify St. Luke CES and St. Vincent as available for Community Planning and Facility Partnerships.

Long-term (6-15 years)

  • Continue to monitor enrolment.

Description

Enrolment has declined in this review area over the last few years. However, enrolment is forecasted to increase over the long-term as a result of students outside of this review area attending the regional French Immersion program at St. Mary CES. Regular Track enrolment is projected to continue declining as communities age and mature.

St. Mary CES hosts regional French Immersion programming. St. Mary CES is forecasted to exceed Total Site Capacity by 2024 due to the expanding French Immersion program, as a result of the removal of the French Immersion cap effective 2022-23.

Extended French was introduced at St. Joan of Arc CES in 2019. This new optional program and the redirection of the Bronte Green New Development Area to the school supports to increase and stabilize enrolment at St. Joan of Arc CES in the long-term. Note that the recommendation to redirect Bronte Green to St. Joan of Arc CES has not been approved by the Board of Trustees at the time of the LTCP.

Multiple large-scale residential developments exist within the St. Mary CES school catchment. This catchment has high development potential over the long-term as it includes the Palermo Village Growth Area. There is limited development potential within St. Joan of Arc CES and St. John Paul II CES catchments.

Schools Involved

  • St. Joan of Arc CES
  • St. John Paul II CES
  • St. Mary CES
  • St. Teresa of Calcutta CES

Projections

CEO2 Overview and Projection Details

CEO2 Recommendations

Short-term (1-5 years)

  • An Administrative School Boundary Review should be conducted to determine school catchments for North Oakville West (West of Sixteen Mile Creek).
  • A School Boundary Review or Administrative Program Review may need to be conducted to address high enrolment at St. Mary CES due to the expanding French Immersion program.
  • A School Boundary Review may be conducted for CEO2-6 to balance enrolment across area schools.
  • Identify St. Teresa of Calcutta CES as available for Community Planning and Facility Partnerships.

Long-term (6-15 years)

  • If enrolment continues to decline at St. John Paul II Catholic Elementary Schools, explore facility partnership opportunities at the school.

Description

Enrolment has increased over the past few years, and has declined gradually over the last 3 years. It is forecasted to decline and stabilize over the long-term.

St. Bernadette CES currently hosts Extended French programming. Portables will no longer be required at St. Bernadette CES and St. Matthew CES by 2023 as enrolment declines. In addition to changes for Extended French programming, the lower number of cross-boundary students at St. Matthew CES is supporting a more stable long-term enrolment at that school.

The Glen Abbey Golf Course is the last major area with development potential within this review area.

Schools Involved

  • St. Bernadette CES
  • St. Matthew CES

Projections

CEO3 Overview and Projection Details

CEO3 Recommendations

Short-term (1-5 years)

  • A School Boundary Review may be conducted for CEO2-6 to balance enrolment across area schools.

Long-term (6-15 years)

  • Continue to monitor enrolment.

Description

Enrolment has declined over the last five (5) years in this area. To address declining enrolment and high renewal needs, a Pupil Accommodation Review was undertaken in 2016-17.

In early 2018, the Board received funding for an addition to St. Michael CES following its consolidation with St. John (O) CES, which opened in 2020-21. St. John (O) CES had a 50% utilization rate and 146 surplus pupil places by 2017, which was addressed through this consolidation.

The decision to consolidate Holy Family CES with St. Marguerite d’Youville CES (CEO5) was rescinded by the Board at its February 20, 2018 Board Meeting. Holy Family CES is forecasted to have utilization rates below 60% by 2025.

Extended French was introduced at Our Lady of Peace CES (CEO5) in 2019.

Development potential is limited within this area and will take the form of infill development and a few high-density developments along Trafalgar Road.

Schools Involved

  • Holy Family CES
  • St. Michael CES

Projections

CEO4 Overview and Projection Details

CEO4 Recommendations

Short-term (1-5 years)

  • A School Boundary Review may be conducted for CEO2-6 to balance enrolment across area schools.
  • Identify Holy Family CES as available for Community Planning and Facility Partnerships.

Long-term (6-15 years)

  • If the School Boundary Review and French Immersion Program Review, as well as the availability of Holy Family CES and St. Marguerite d’Youville CES (CEO5) for Community Planning and Facility Partnerships, do not result in a reduction in empty pupil places and increased utilization of Holy Family CES and St. Marguerite d’Youville CES, a Pupil Accommodation Review involving CEO4 and CEO5 may be required in the future, pending moratorium.

Description

Overall, enrolment has declined in this review area over the past five years and is expected to continue declining over the long-term. To address declining enrolment and high renewal needs, a Pupil Accommodation Review was undertaken in 2016-17. On February 20, 2018, the Board of Trustees rescinded the motion for the consolidation of Holy Family CES (CEO4) and St. Marguerite d’Youville CES. The decision to consolidate Holy Family CES with St. Marguerite d’Youville CES (CEO5) was rescinded by the Board at its February 20, 2018 Board Meeting.

St. Andrew CES hosts regional Special Education Classes for Gifted students. St. Marguerite d’Youville CES and Our Lady of Peace CES host regional Extended French programming. For the 2021-22 school year, French Immersion programming will be alternately provided through St. Marguerite d’Youville CES.

Development potential exists in the Uptown Core Growth Area (South of Dundas Street at Trafalgar Road) for the long-term. These developments will impact St. Andrew CES.

Schools Involved

  • Our Lady of Peace CES
  • St. Andrew CES
  • St. Marguerite d’Youville CES

Projections

CEO5 Overview and Projection Details

CEO5 Recommendations

Short-term (1-5 years)

  • A School Boundary Review may be conducted for CEO2-6 to balance enrolment across area schools.

Long-term (6-15 years)

  • If enrolment continues to decline at St. Marguerite d’Youville CES, explore facility partnership opportunities at the school.
  • If the School Boundary Review and French Immersion Program Review, as well as the availability of Holy Family CES (CEO4) and St. Marguerite d’Youville CES for Community Planning and Facility Partnerships, do not result in a reduction in empty pupil places and increased utilization of Holy Family CES and St. Marguerite d’Youville CES, a Pupil Accommodation Review involving CEO4 and CEO5 may be required in the future, pending moratorium.

Description

The first school within this review area was opened in 2016. Since then, enrolment has increased gradually at the school.

Enrolment is projected to increase significantly over time as development continues in the North Oakville. The Board has identified the need for a total of five (5) Catholic Elementary Schools within the North Oakville East Secondary Plan. As such, St. Gregory the Great CES will be the holding school until the second Catholic elementary school (North Oakville #4 CES) is introduced in the area. St. Gregory the Great CES is projected to exceed FBC by 2024.

In October 2020, the Ministry of Education approved funding for North Oakville #4 CES. The new school is expected to be complete by 2022-23.

Greenfield development will continue to occur within this area over the long-term and is forecasted to impact enrolment in the community.

The pace of enrolment growth has been slower than expected within this new community. It also should be noted that demographics within this community are not materializing as expected. As such, enrolment will continue to be monitored and timing for additional schools will continually be reviewed to ensure accommodation requirements are met for this community.

Schools Involved

  • St. Gregory the Great CES
  • North Oakville #4 CES (planned)

Projections

CEO6 Overview and Projection Details

CEO6 Recommendations

Short-term (1-5 years)

  • An Administrative School Boundary Review should be conducted to determine school catchments for North Oakville West (West of Sixteen Mile Creek).
  • A School Boundary Review may be conducted for CEO2-6 to balance enrolment across area schools.
  • As development proceeds within the North Oakville East Secondary Plan, the next elementary school (North Oakville #3 CES) will be required by 2024-25 to accommodate students from new development.

Long-term (6-15 years)

  • As development proceeds within the North Oakville East Secondary Plan, the fourth elementary school (North Oakville #5 CES) in North Oakville will be required by 2029-30 to accommodate students from new development. The fifth elementary school (North Oakville #2 CES) in North Oakville will be required by 2033-34. The timing of development within certain neighbourhoods of North Oakville will continue to be monitored to determine the order that North Oakville #2, #3 and #5 CES will be the required.

Projections By Secondary Review Area (SRA)

Description

Enrolment has increased at St. Thomas Aquinas CSS for the last few years and forecasted to be stable over the long-term.

The availability of the International Baccalaureate (IB) program continues to attract students to the school.

Neighbourhoods are continuing to age and mature within this area. Future development will take the form of existing single-family home replacements and redevelopment of commercial sites for residential uses. Medium and high-density intensification is proposed within the Bronte Village, Kerr Street, Downtown Oakville and Midtown Oakville Growth Areas.

Schools Involved

  • St. Thomas Aquinas CSS

Projections

CSO1 Overview and Projection Details

CSO1 Recommendations

Short-term (1-5 years)

  • Continue to monitor enrolment and program offering at the school.

Long-term (6-15 years)

  • Continue to monitor enrolment and program offering at the school.

Description

Enrolment has increased at St. Ignatius of Loyola CSS for the last five (5) years and forecasted to be stable over the long-term. Enrolment is forecasted to exceed Functional Building Facility, however there is sufficient capacity to accommodate students in portables over the long-term.

The school hosts the largest number of students from the International Student Program (ISP).

Multiple large-scale residential developments exist within the school catchment. This catchment has high development potential over the long-term. The school includes students from new residential developments in North Oakville (west of Sixth Line).

Schools Involved

  • St. Ignatius Loyola CSS

Projections

CSO2 Overview and Projection Details

CSO2 Recommendations

Short-term (1-5 years)

  • Continue to monitor enrolment and program offering at the school.

Long-term (6-15 years)

  • As development proceeds within the North Oakville East and West Secondary Plans, a secondary school (North Oakville #1 CSS) may be required in North Oakville by 2033-34 to accommodate students from new development.

Description

Enrolment has been increasing gradually at Holy Trinity CSS for the last five years and is forecasted to increase over the long-term. Portables will be required at the school over the long-term to accommodate students.

The availability of the new Advanced Placement (AP) program is expected to attract students to the school. The school also hosts regional Extended French programming.

Greenfield development potential exists around the Uptown Core at Trafalgar Road and Dundas Street. There developments are expected to be high-density in nature. The school includes students from new residential developments in North Oakville (west of Sixth Line).

Schools Involved

  • Holy Trinity CSS

Projections

CSO3 Overview and Projection Details

CSO3 Recommendations

Short-term (1-5 years)

  • Continue to monitor enrolment and program offering at the school.

Long-term (6-15 years)

  • As development proceeds within the North Oakville East and West Secondary Plans, a secondary school (North Oakville #1 CSS) may be required in North Oakville by 2033-34 to accommodate students from new development.

Description

There are currently no secondary schools within this review area. Students from this area attend St. Ignatius of Loyola CSS (West of Sixth Line) and Holy Trinity CSS (East of Sixth Line).

Greenfield development will continue to occur within this area over the long-term and is forecasted to impact enrolment in the community.

Enrolment is projected to increase significantly over time as development continues in the North Oakville Secondary Plan. One (1) Catholic Secondary School site has been designated within the North Oakville East Secondary Plan. The timing of the new secondary school will continually be reviewed to ensure accommodation pressures are met.

Projections

CSO4 Overview and Projection Details

CSO4 Recommendations

Short-term (1-5 years)

  • Continue to monitor enrolment and program offering at the school.

Long-term (6-15 years)

  • As development proceeds within the North Oakville East and West Secondary Plans, a secondary school (North Oakville #1 CSS) may be required in North Oakville by 2033-34 to accommodate students from new development.
Erica Emery2021 Town of Oakville Overview